DRAFT: Trump could leave the Supreme Court 8-1 for the conservatives

<p>Kavannah will be fine. Laura Ingraham has known him for 25 years...she was giddy last night. Leonard Leo from Federalist society literally laughed when asked if Kavannah might be a squish. And let's think about the bigger picture...Ginsburg is 85. Breyer will be 80 next month. Sotomayor is 64 and has has Type 1 diabetes. (Average life span for a woman with Type 1 diabetes is 68). Folks, it is conceivable Trump could leave the Supreme Court 8-1 for the conservatives. It's an absolute worst case scenario for liberals.</p> <p>&#160;</p> <p>Given the map and momentum...I would say it's much more likely that Republicans could pick up as many as 5 or 6 seats. Especially now that dem senators in very red states have to make an impossible choice on support for Kavannah.</p> <p>&#160;</p> <p>RCP has 48 safe Republican seats...and 8 toss ups (I believe it will be 9 tossups with Tester). ALL of those toss ups are in red states (except 1- Nevada). Republicans might not win them all...but then again looking race by race they absolutely could. IN, ND, MO, WV, FL, MT would all be pick ups. Very possible.</p> <p>&#160;</p> <p>Lose 1 senator and the nomination is sunk. So he nominates someone who can and will get confirmed. Many people are scoffing at the idea that he is a squish. If they pick up 4 or 5 seats in the Senate.... the next pick (and there may be 2-3 more picks) he can nominate Barrett or someone similar.&#160;</p>